This course will explain how we need to put a cost on life, to input into the cost benefit analyses when we are assessing projects that create risks.
• Cost Benefit Analysis.
• The 'cost of life' in a CBA.
• Estimating the cost of life.
• Cost Benefit Analyses: Dealing with uncertainties.
The oil and gas industry is experiencing unprecedented market forces, including the first 'negative' price for a barrel of oil, the decrease in energy demand and the oil and gas majors cutting costs. Every company and its workers in this industry will be affected both in the short and long term. How is the industry surviving in these difficult times and how do key players see the future?
- Panel 1 - May 13, 2020: Dr. Phil Hopkins, PHL; Terri Steeves, TCE; Marcelino Gomes, Petrobras; Tom Miesner, Pipeline Knowledge LLC; Polad Rustamov, TANAP; Jeroen Zanting, Gasunie
- Panel 2 - June 23, 2020: Dr. Phil Hopkins, PHL; Dr. Thomas Hüwener, Open Grid Europe; Harry MacPherson, MIS; Eric Jas, Atteris; Fabian Sanchez, OCP Ecuador; Alvaro Quintero, Shell Brunei; Mohd Nazmi bin Mohd Ali Napiah, PETRONAS; and Tisha Schuller, Adamantine Energy.
Presenter: Andrew Wilde, ROSEN Group
- Learn about a groundbreaking new approach to combining data from multiple magnetic flux based technologies to obtain accurate 3D profiles of metal loss anomalies to support advanced integrity assessments
With the current restrictions over movement and social interactions, it is more challenging than ever to access critical anomalies for verification and repair purposes. Advanced integrity assessment approaches can be used to maximize the benefit of available in-line inspection data and, in some cases, allow in-field activities to be safely deferred for a period of time, but ultimately it is the accuracy of the inspection data that has the primary influence over the accuracy of the overall assessment.
Traditionally, sizing metal loss anomalies using magnetic flux leakage data involves the application of a suitable sizing algorithm, combined with the interpretation of an experienced data evaluator. Consequently, although the results are sufficient to enable a conservative assessment of the anomaly to be performed, some ambiguity remains regarding its morphology and size.
ROSEN’s Virtual-Dig Up (VDU) service incorporates a disruptive technology: Deep Field Analysis (DFA). DFA is an iterative process where an initial estimation of the shape of the metal loss is used to simulate the MFL-A and MFL-C magnetic responses. The simulation results are compared to the actual magnetic responses and the metal loss shape is refined, until the simulated and as-measured results are in close agreement. This process results in a laser scan like 3D profile of the metal loss that can be used to support a range of integrity assessments, including accurate estimation of failure pressure, anomaly interaction and corrosion growth rate estimation. The process requires extensive computer processing effort and support from a range of ILI and data analysis specialists to ensure the reliability of the result. Currently, it is therefore targeted at individual anomalies that are challenging to access for verification and repair purposes.
The 3D shape obtained from the DFA process can be used to provide an accurate estimation of failure pressure, using either an effective area approach (such as RSTRENG or the Plausible Profiles – Psqr method) or a finite element analysis (FEA) based assessment. The results of the anomaly assessment are then combined with a range of other activities / assessments, to address the integrity concerns that are particular to the anomaly being assessed. Most notably, it must be determined – with confidence – whether the anomaly is actively growing and if so, at what growth rate. This information can be combined to provide the most accurate estimation of the safe remaining life on a corrosion anomaly.
Presenter: Brian N. Leis
This video series is concerned with a compact view of “Failure Analysis” as it has been typically applied to pipelines over the years in the framework outlined.
- Part 1 - What can be learned?
- Part 2 - How & why pipeline failures occur
- Exploration of potential long-term issues facing the industry as a result of COVID-19
- Examination of future working practices, investment in intellectual capital, future demand and the move to greener energy solutions
Presenter: Michael Smith, ROSEN Group
In this course, you will find a series of presentations and reading materials that will introduce the concept of data science, explain how data is organised, and provide an overview of different analytical methods that can be used.
Presentations: Introduction to Data Science, Data Engineering, Descriptive Analytics, Predictive Analytics: Regression with Supervised Machine Learning
Reading: The Bias Blind Spot, Thomas Bayes and Confirmation Bias, The Illusion of Causality
Host: Florian Brüggemann, ROSEN GroupThis special six-part series of webinars explores digitally-enabled decision support in challenging times and how you can connect and collaborate with your consultant in the digital era.
- Part 1: Transforming Data Into Action
- Part 2: Offshore Integrity
- Part 3: Inspect Now or Later?
- Part 4: In Times When We All Do Risk Assessments
- Part 5: Above-Ground Surveys
- Part 6: SCC Susceptibility
- Demonstration of how integrated MFL and lift-off technology can serve to reduce excavations while still ensuring safe pipeline operations
Dents interacting with metal loss remain as a significant challenge to operators. Existing regulations require that dents with metal loss be treated as immediate repairs or 60-day repairs, resulting in costly excavations for many operators. At the time when these regulations were written, it was not clear whether in-line inspection technologies could discriminate the nature of the metal loss (i.e. corrosion or mechanical damage) or provide accurate sizing. Furthermore, advanced analysis techniques such as finite element analysis were limited, and fitness-for-service evaluations were not common. While the technological hurdles regarding evaluating interacting dent and metal loss features have been overcome, sensor lift-off remains a challenging issue for magnetic flux leakage (MFL) inspection tools, as sizing accuracy degrades at larger lift-off distances.
Until recently, the sensor lift-off issue limited the ability to perform engineering critical assessments (ECA), because the metal loss in dent features could not be confidently sized. This presentation demonstrates, how integrated lift-off sensors can be used to quantify the lift-off as the MFL sensors pass over a dent. This technology integration has allowed the confident application of sizing specifications for many dents with metal loss, thereby permitting robust ECAs.
The outcome of the seminar will be a collective view on current practices in quantitative risk assessment (approach and acceptance levels) and cost benefit analyses (input data, and agreeing on sacrifice levels).
April 18th, 2018 -ROSEN UK, Newcastle
- Quantitative Risk Assessment in UK Pipelines
- Current QRA Practices and Standards in the UK
- The Use of Cost Benefit Analyses and ALARP in Risk Management
- UKOPA’s approach to ‘Application of Cost Benefit Analysis to Demonstrate ALARP’
- Valuation of Health and Safety Benefits
- Cost of Failures versus Cost of Life
- ’Zero failures’: what do we have to change/do better to approach zero?
- View from Canada Zero Failures, QRA, and Cost Benefit Analyses to demonstrate ALARP
Presenters: Alan Murray / Gary Senior
- Regulacion de seguridad de ductos desde la perspectiva del Reino Unido
- Una vision desde Canada: Cero fallas, QRA amalisis de costo beneficio para demostrar el ALARP
Presenter: Steve Cromwell, ROSEN Group
This special three-part series of webinars explores best practice in resilient Pipeline Integrity Management systems, developed working with, and seeing the proven performance of, operators worldwide.
- Part 1: Best Practice & COVID-19 – A time to reflect
- Part 2: PIMS in a time of crisis – Act in haste and repent at leisure
- Part 3: An integrated approach to crack management
While the world is turned upside down by the pandemic, oil and gas leaders must future-proof their companies simultaneously for unprecedented disruption and rising social risk.
Social risk is the combined political, policy and community risk that materially threaten construction and operation of projects. This keynote articulates how the pandemic is mobilizing new trends in disruption, accelerating some threats, and delaying other social risks. These changes are fundamentally reshaping the political and financial landscape for oil and gas companies. Rather than dismiss or fight these trends, Tisha Schuller challenges energy leaders to seize the opportunity presented by our current disruption and increasing opposition to oil and gas, turning risk into operational advantage.
Presenter: Karen Collins / Michelle Unger
Pipeline Safety Management Systems (PSMS) are management tools that will help a pipeline operator comprehensively and holistically manage all the many aspects of pipeline safety. The framework of PSMS is specified in the API Recommended Practice 1173 and consists of ten elements, one being 'Competence, Awareness, and Training' which is probably the most important one since there is a strong link between pipeline failures and human errors caused by incompetence.
Pipeline integrity teams – including teams of one – are comprised of individuals, each with their own competencies and experiences, who are required to perform a set of tasks according to their job description or function. How can you be sure your team has the necessary skills or maintains them as new members join and experienced members leave?
Competencies of the individual need to be assessed against a defined standard to ensure validation. Competency standards specify the knowledge, skills, and abilities required to perform a task at a specified level (e.g. foundation, practitioner, expert), and encourage continued development. Competency frameworks define the set of competencies and the levels required to undertake all of the functions of the integrity team.
Including competency assessments within a safety management system should reduce the likelihood that substandard staff development or performance is overlooked and help lead to continuous improvement. Additionally, a demonstrable process of competence assessment provides assurance to regulators and other stakeholders that a core aspect of safety, namely staff competence, is valid.
Presenter: Simon IrvineTo introduce the concept of competence from a pipeline engineer’s perspective • To highlight the industry’s growing requirements for competent and qualified personnel • To explain why a ‘qualification-based’ approach is required to demonstrate competence within the pipeline industry
Мы живем в постоянно меняющихся условиях. Глобальные изменения ежедневно погружают нас в незнакомую обстановку, и мы опять должны искать решения для новых задач. Так как нам всем нужно адаптироваться к новой ситуации, мы считаем, что сейчас более чем когда-либо обмен знаниями приобрел решающее значение.
Поэтому в этой серии вебинаров наши эксперты рассмотрят различные темы, имеющие отношение к вопросам управления целостностью производственных объектов. Целью наших вебинаров является поддержка обеспечения непрерывной безопасной эксплуатации производственных объектов и помощь Операторам в преодолении сложившихся нестандартных обстоятельств.
- УСОВЕРШЕНСТВОВАНИЯ МЕТОДОВ ОЦЕНКИ СКОРОСТИ РОСТА КОРРОЗИИ
- ПРИМЕР ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЯ ПО NIMA – ОБСЛЕДОВАНИЕ РЕЗЕРВУАРОВ НА ОСНОВЕ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ РИСКАМИ (RBI)